Expression dictionary — full article
Guessing & Possibility · must have (done/been), would have (done/been), probably (did/was)
(았/었/했)을 것 is a grammatical construction used to express a past assumption or strong inference. It indicates that the speaker is making a logical deduction about something that must have happened or was likely true in the past, based on current evidence or general knowledge. It's not a mere guess, but an educated conclusion drawn from observable facts.
This expression is primarily used in situations where you are inferring a past fact or situation without having directly witnessed it. It implies a high degree of certainty or probability in the speaker's assumption. You often use it when you observe the result of a past action or state and deduce what must have caused it.
For example:
It's a way of saying, "Given what I know now, this is what I believe happened in the past."
(았/었/했)을 것 attaches to the past tense stem of verbs and adjectives.
Simply attach -을 것 to the past tense stem.
Examples:
Nuance of Certainty: This expression conveys a strong assumption, almost a conclusion, rather than a weak guess. The speaker feels confident in their inference about the past event.
Comparison with -(으)ㄹ 것: While -(으)ㄹ 것 is used for present or future assumptions/conjectures, (았/었/했)을 것 is specifically for past assumptions. The tense marker (았/었/했) makes this distinction clear.
Comparison with -(았/었/했을) 텐데: Both can express past assumptions, but -(았/었/했을) 텐데 often carries an additional nuance of regret, surprise, or provides background information for a subsequent statement, sometimes implying a 'should have' or 'would have' in a conditional sense. (았/었/했)을 것 is a more direct statement of past inference based on evidence, without necessarily implying a consequence or counterfactual.
Commonly used with adverbs: This grammar point is often paired with adverbs that emphasize certainty or probability, such as 아마 (perhaps, probably), 분명히 (clearly, certainly), or 틀림없이 (without fail, undoubtedly).